The relevance of disinvestment is not simply the Government’s inclination towards selling off minority stakes of Public Sector Undertakings (PSU’s) as there is strong economics behind the whole agenda. At a time when successive stimulus packages, announced by the Indian Government to stem the impact of worldwide economic crisis, has put tremendous pressure on the central exchequer and shrinking revenue doing little to beef up Government’s treasury disinvestment in PSUs the Government is planning Disinvestment on a large scale.
Rationale behind disinvestment in PSU does remain placing three booster doses for the Indian economy. The Government has incurred a fiscal deficit of Rs 3, 30,000 crore, amounting to 6.2 per cent of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) of the country in 2008-09.
According to estimates, flow of cash to Government exchequer could be huge over the next few years, even if the Government plans to dilute its stake in so-far listed PSUs to 51 per cent. Government’s holding in listed state-owned enterprises are estimated to be over Rs 8.8 lakh crore, and if stakes are diluted to 51 per cent in these PSUs at current market prices, it would yield an inflow of around Rs 3 lakh crore. A dilution of about 10 per cent in top 10 PSUs can fetch a staggering Rs 85,000 crore in terms of market valuation. The Government would obviously look to explore disinvestment options, if not in profit-making PSUs, then in loss-making ones at least to tighten its fiscal belt.
Often people crib about the necessity of initiating PSU reform. Disinvestment can provide a much-needed boost as it is likely to act as an effective instrument to enforce market discipline in PSUs. Once listed, public enterprises will be open to public glare and will have to abide by the norms of market regulator, SEBI as well as the stock exchanges, including quarterly release of their income statements and on-time dissemination of market-sensitive information which is crucial for the secondary market.
A definitive roadmap is being prepared for the process of disinvestment. The Government is also mulling winding up of the National Investment Fund (NIF), into which disinvestment proceeds have been flowing in the last five years. The NIF has been kept outside the consolidated fund of India and according to the constitution of NIF, 75 per cent of its annual income has to be used to finance selected social sector schemes. Hope exists that by channelling disinvestment proceeds away from NIF the Government will be able to use the disinvestment money to bridge the widening fiscal deficit.
The Government has prepared a list of nearly 40 PSUs in which it is looking to divest part of its shareholding through the stock market. The block includes 15 listed companies, in which the government’s stake is over 90 per cent. The Government has also drafted a list of around 25 unlisted enterprises for selective disinvestment. These companies are estimated to have a net worth of Rs 200 crore with each of the enterprises earning a net profit in each of the past three years. Some of these include, Rashtriya Ispat Nigam, Bharat Sanchar Nigam Ltd, Coal India and Hudco.
Political obstacles also have to be given due consideration. There are already some opposition emanating from the chief ally, Trinamool Congress and southern alley DMK. TMC has said it will oppose any move to disinvest PSUs or strategic sales of profitable PSUs. DMK too has a track record for opposing sale of shares of PSUs, such as Neyveli Lignite Corporation. Hence, the Finance Ministry, which is now in-charge of disinvestment, must create a consensus on the issue of disinvestment by engaging key administrative ministries, coalition partners in Government, including Congress as well as stakeholders of the PSUs, including employees.